Merry Christmas !
by WooTonight’s game:
Chargers +3 at Titans
2009 Week 15 Leaders
by Woo
Merry Christmas, y’all !
Good Day for the “House”
by Scotty JBy PETER CHILDS | December 21, 2009 |
Peter Childs is an oddsmaker with Belmont.com.
People were out shopping Sunday instead of betting. Either that, or there weren’t enough compelling games on the schedule. Either way, volume was down but the two NFL primetime games during the week helped offset some.
We got worked Thursday night by the Colts, who covered by just a point and the pushed the game over the closing total. Indy is undefeated and definitely a public team right now. Not only did we lose money on the Colts, but we got sided with Jags sharp action that took the +4 points when we opened Colts -4. And with the game landing so close to the closing number, we paid out teaser bets on both the Colts and Jags.
As bad of a result as Thursday was, it was more than made up for with the Cowboys winning outright on Saturday night against the Saints. We cleaned up on the Saints straight bets, as well as New Orleans teaser bets.
We booked a ton of Saints action at halftime with the home side down 17-3. It was by far our biggest halftime decision of the week, and we got the money. The game stayed well below the closing total and we also eliminated any exposure on “Will the Saints go undefeated” bets, which were getting out of hand as bettors were all over the YES with that prop.
We did well on Sunday too. One of the biggest decisions for us was the Vikings-Panthers game.
The Vikings were 8.5-point road favorites. Having Minny lose outright was huge for us. The Vikings were tied to a ton of teasers bets, as well as parlays and, of course, they were the popular straight bet as they have been all season long.
The biggest decision we had on the day was on the Pats-Bills game. Our bettors were all over the Pats -7 and, with the game landing 7, we definitely lost money on this game. Anyone who bought off 7, won their bets. Our players either pushed or won.
One of the highest bet games of the day was the Packers-Steelers tilt. We opened Steelers -1 and closed Steelers -3 (+105). We booked the spread dead even, but there was a chance that this game would land on the Steelers winning by two points, which would have been devastating for us and most bookmakers.
But Steelers coach Mike Tomlin ended any chance of that happening when he called for an onside kick in what has to be the dumbest call I’ve seen by a coach in a long time. You’re up two points with four minutes to play – why would you risk going for an onside kick there?
Amazingly stupid.
Either way, the Steelers winning by a point didn’t hurt us as much as if they’d won by 2. Pittsburgh winning outright did help our cause because we booked a ton of money on the Packers moneyline. Where we lost money on this game was the total, as the game flew over with a total of 73 points scored.
One game that the sharps got wrong and the public got the money was the 49ers-Eagles game. Sharp money was betting the 49ers down from 8 point dogs to 7 closing in on the kickoff. Sharps liked the late start for the 49ers because West Coast teams usually struggle with early start times on the East Coast. (The NFL changed the time on this game because of extreme weather).
Either way, the sharps got it wrong as the Eagles won by 14 and covered the spread. The public was on the Eagles and they got it right.
Overall, it was a very good day for us. With favorites only covering two games yesterday, it meant the dogs were barking and that is always good for us. We held just over 20 percent on Sunday.
We Create Our Own Destiny
by WooAnd if mine does not involve a championship in this league, lock your deadbolts because my Ochocinco alter ego will be on the loose. Whatever that means.
Karl appears headed for a +$3200 finish, so that’s one number to note. Fratty, who knows, could very well crush it also — unless he continues to pick such undeserving teams as the Seattle Seahawks. Randall, please do your “Umericun” duty and take down the Swede. I will deal with the southern man who used to wear a grungy Alabama Crimson Tide ballcap in college. No Ingram/Saban bandwagon jumping for that guy — which is why I must defeat him in a gentlemanly way. Afterwards we shall drink tea together and discuss horse racing, pheasant hunting, and the playoffs.
Yall come back now.. hear ?
Good Luck
by WooI will try to get a number up for ATL @ NYJ by 11am tomorrow, but no guarantee.
Lines Delay
by WooThere are 3 games that very few people (WSEX included) are making lines for. Thus there will be none posted here today.
Check back tomorrow or Sunday morning.
Leaders with 3 weeks left
by Woono assumptions this time
Leaders with 3 weeks left
by Wooassuming a win/cover by the Arizona Cardinals on MNF
Public makes some $$$ on the Bolts (me too!)
by Scotty JBook Report: Public takes cash in Bolts-Cowboys game
By | December 14, 2009 |
Sports Interaction betting analyst Frank Doyle casts his eye over the NFL Week 14 results.
The Chargers-Cowboys game was marquee matchup on Sunday and we came out on the wrong end. We opened with San Diego +3.0 at Dallas but early Cowboy action moved the line to Chargers +3.5 by game time.
It seems many of our players didn’t ignore the December trends for these two teams. San Diego won straight up, 20-17, and Sports Interaction paid the consequences. Good game for the bettors.
Philadelphia at the Giants had the most action for us of any of the games of the weekend, and the players were behind the Eagles all the way. In retrospect, -1.5 was too short a line on them but when we discussed the line at the start of the week we thought that the Giants had turned a corner with the win over Dallas.
Instead, the Eagles took down the Giants 45-38 and we’ll be handicapping all three (Giants, Cowboys and Eagles) a little tighter this week. Another good game for the bettors.
We had a biggish take on the Green Bay at Chicago game. We opened with Green Bay as a 3-point road favorite at Soldier Field and that line moved out -5 by Sunday.
Two points is a considerable distance for a line to travel, but the Packers still covered easily, 21-14. You can expect further discounts on the Bears No. 6 jerseys in the Chicago department stores.
Our book was balanced for Minnesota’s game at home to Cincinnati.
It was a tricky game to handicap. Six points seemed a big number for the Vikings to cover after they were exposed so badly the Sunday before at Arizona.
The Bengals had a Bungles moment in the Metrodome, losing 30-10 and washed away our worries in the process. If I were Saints coach Sean Payton, this result would make me very unhappy.
Finally, we had a much bigger take on the Pittsburgh at Cleveland Thursday night game than we expected. We set the line at Pittsburgh -10, which is a funny number for a team on a bad losing streak.
Still, the Steelers are a public team and Cleveland hadn’t beaten Pittsburgh in 12 games. The public still took the Steelers with big money. Pittsburgh lost, 13-6, which made a long and lonesome evening for anyone with money on the defending champs.
Bet You Didn’t Know..
by WooLast weekend, out of curiosity, I googled “football illegal touching” to try & understand the rule. It’s more complicated and unusual than I thought, and comes into play on basically any punt that’s not fielded (its usually declined but refs never make an announcement).
Same article also talks about the options a team has after making a fair catch, including an uncontested field goal.
Some stuff your average fan definitely does not realize..
http://www.east-coast-bias.com/2007/10/illegal-touching-and-fair-catch-free.html
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